岩土工程研究

基于改进多因素相互作用关系矩阵的场址评价 ——以CSNS工程选址为例

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  • 1. 中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 页岩气与地质工程重点实验室,北京 100029;2. 云南省交通规划设计研究院 陆地交通气象灾害防治技术国家工程实验室,云南 昆明 650041;3. 交通运输部公路科学研究院,北京 100088;4. 绍兴文理学院 土木工程学院,浙江 绍兴 312000; 5. 中国科学院高能物理研究所,北京 100049
李坤,男,1984年生,博士,主要从事工程地质、煤田地质、水文地质方面的工作。

收稿日期: 2015-09-08

  网络出版日期: 2018-06-09

基金资助

国家自然科学基金(No. 41372324);国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(No. 2014CB046901);陆地交通气象灾害防治技术国家工程实验室开放研究基金(No. NELXX201603)。

Site evaluation system based on modified multifactor interaction matrix ——A case study of CSNS project site

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  • 1. Key Laboratory of Shale Gas and Geoengineering, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; 2. National Engineering Laboratory for Surface Transportation Weather Impacts Prevention, Broadvision Engineering Consultants, Kunming, Yunnan 650041, China; 3. Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport,Beijing 100088, China; 4. College of Civil Engineering, Shaoxing University, Shaoxing, Zhejiang 312000, China;5. Institute of High Energy Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received date: 2015-09-08

  Online published: 2018-06-09

Supported by

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41372324), the Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (973 Program) (2014CB046901) and the Opening Research Fund of National Engineering Laboratory for Surface Transportation Weather Impacts Prevention (NELXX201603).

摘要

工程场址评价方法中传统的权重确定方法无法反映多元地学信息之间的复杂关系,影响评价结果的客观公正。为更好地满足大型工程设施选址的需要,将传统多因素相互作用关系矩阵法由常权改进为动态变权并引入工程场址评价,提出工程场址适宜度(ESSI)评价方法和定量评价指标,通过分析影响因素间作用关系及其在不同时空下对系统整体的影响,确定其在系统整体评价中根据实际情况动态变化的变权,根据权重计算工程场址适宜度。将该评价方法应用于中国散裂中子源工程选址工作,使用6个影响因素在5个比选场址中的变权及常权分别评价工程场址适宜度并对比分析,确定第3场址作为工程建设场址。实践证明基于多因素相互作用关系矩阵的ESSI评价方法与指标更具科学性、合理性和实用性,以期为类似工程选址提供参考。

本文引用格式

李 坤,尚彦军 ,蒋 毅 ,何万通 ,林达明 ,常金源 ,陈延伟, . 基于改进多因素相互作用关系矩阵的场址评价 ——以CSNS工程选址为例[J]. 岩土力学, 2016 , 37(S1) : 400 -408 . DOI: 10.16285/j.rsm.2016.S1.052

Abstract

The determination of the weights of the influencing factors in evaluating the suitability of engineering sites varies greatly among the conventional methods which are generally found unreliable when applied to some engineering sites with complex geology for their failure to reveal the complex relationships between the geological factors. To satisfy the need of selecting proper sites for large-scale key projects, we improve the constant weight to variety weight and introduce the matrix of multifactor interactions into the suitability evaluation of engineering sites, and propose the concept of engineering site suitability index (ESSI), a comprehensive index which is capable of considering the correlations between the influencing factors and the variation of their impact under various tamporospatial dimensions; and therefore put forward a multi-discipline system for evaluating the suitability of engineering sites. The system is used in the site selection for China Spallation Neutron Source(CSNC) Project, and found applicable and reliable by the follow-up engineering investigation. The ESSI system which is based on the matrix of multi-factor interactions is proved scientific, reasonable, and applicable by case studies; and it is expected to provide a reference for similar large-scale engineering
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