基础理论与实验研究

岩质边坡楔形体破坏概率的方向模拟

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  • 1. 中国科学院武汉岩土力学研究所 岩土力学与工程国家重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430071; 2. 浙江省交通规划设计研究院,浙江 杭州 310006
朱勇,男,1979年生,博士研究生,助理研究员,主要从事岩土工程可靠度、稳定性、风险评估方面的研究

网络出版日期: 2018-06-05

基金资助

国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(No. 2014CB046902);国家自然科学基金项目(No. 51279201)。

Directional simulation of failure probability of rock slope wedge

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  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Geomechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, Hubei 430071, China; 2. Zhejiang Provincial Institute of Communications Planning, Design & Research, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310006, China;

Online published: 2018-06-05

Supported by

This work was Supported by the National by Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) (2014CB046902) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51279201).

摘要

针对边坡小概率破坏的高效模拟问题,提出采用方向模拟方法进行计算,介绍了方向模拟的基本理论和楔形体破坏功能函数的算法,编制了岩质边坡楔形体破坏概率的方向模拟的Matlab程序,分别将方向模拟结果与重要抽样模拟、子集模拟的计算结果进行了对比分析。结果表明,方向模拟与子集模拟一样适合于小概率破坏的计算,方向模拟方法在抽样次数较少的情况下就能获得较高的计算精度,与其他两种方法相比效率更高。

本文引用格式

朱 勇,周 辉,冯夏庭,张传庆,张铭强,杨凡杰, . 岩质边坡楔形体破坏概率的方向模拟[J]. 岩土力学, 2017 , 38(S1) : 151 -157 . DOI: 10.16285/j.rsm.2017.S1.017

Abstract

Directional simulation method is proposed to calculate the small probability of slope failure. Algorithms of directional simulation and wedge safety factor are introduced and programmed. The direction simulation results and the importance sampling respectively, compare the calculation results with the subset simulation analysis. The results show that the directional simulation method can be used to calculate the small probability of slope failure as the same with subset simulation method. And directional simulation method can get enough accuracy by a small number of sampling, which means more efficiency than the other two methods.
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