岩土力学 ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (S1): 631-644.doi: 10.16285/j.rsm.2023.1894

• 岩土工程研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于时间序列聚类和粒模型的地面沉降模式分析

王楚鑫1, 2,王迎超1, 2,董传新3,武佩锋3,张政3   

  1. 1. 中国矿业大学 深地工程智能建造与健康运维全国重点实验室,江苏 徐州 221116;2. 中国矿业大学 力学与土木工程学院,江苏 徐州 221116;3. 中国铁路上海局集团有限公司 合肥铁路枢纽工程建设指挥部,安徽 合肥 230011
  • 收稿日期:2023-12-20 接受日期:2024-03-22 出版日期:2024-09-18 发布日期:2024-09-21
  • 通讯作者: 王迎超,男,1982年生,博士,教授,主要从事地下工程防灾减灾及防护方面的教学与科研工作。E-mail: wych12345678@126.com
  • 作者简介:王楚鑫,男,1998年生,硕士研究生,主要从事地面沉降灾害方面的研究。E-mail: wwwwwcx@yeah.net
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(No.42272313);国家重点研发计划(No.2022YFC3003304);中国铁路上海局集团有限公司科研项目(No.2022178);中铁十六局集团有限公司科技计划项目(No.K2023-6B)。

Analysis of land subsidence patterns based on time series clustering and granular model

WANG Chu-xin1, 2, WANG Ying-chao1, 2, DONG Chuan-xin3, WU Pei-feng3, ZHANG Zheng3   

  1. 1. State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Construction and Healthy Operation & Maintenance of Deep Underground Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116, China; 2. School of Mechanics and Civil Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116, China; 3. Hefei Railway Hub Construction Headquarters, China Railway Shanghai Bureau Group Co., Ltd., Hefei, Anhui 230011, China
  • Received:2023-12-20 Accepted:2024-03-22 Online:2024-09-18 Published:2024-09-21
  • Supported by:
    This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42272313), the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFC3003304) and the China Railway Shanghai Bureau Group Co., Ltd. (2022178) and the Science and Technology Plan Project of China Railway 16th Bureau Group Co., Ltd. (K2023-6B).

摘要: 地面沉降是全球公认的重要灾害,不同受灾区域的地面沉降处于不同发展阶段,准确地认识地面沉降的发展是防治地面沉降灾害的关键。针对地面沉降各发展阶段的不同特征,提出了一种自适应聚类算法(improved adaptive density peak clustering algorithm based on K-nearest neighbors,简称IADPC-KNN),结合粒模型理论,归纳总结了地面沉降发展模式及其映射规律。首先,采用动态时间弯曲方法(dynamic time warping,简称DTW)作为数据间的距离度量,将IADPC-KNN与其他5种聚类算法,在7个公开的数据集进行测试,结果表明IADPC-KNN具有较高精度及较好鲁棒性。其次,收集全球14个受灾区域的地面沉降监测数据,经过数据处理、序列提取、聚类分析、粒模型构建、规则归纳等步骤,得到4类地面沉降模式及其映射关系。最后,采用某地2017―2019年的监测数据进行验证,结果表明该地2018年以后的地面沉降模式有0.359 2的概率属于模式4,与实际沉降发展较吻合。该研究成果可为地面沉降灾害的预测与防控提供理论参考。

关键词: 动态时间弯曲, 密度峰值聚类, 粒模型, 聚类, 地面沉降

Abstract: Land subsidence is a globally recognized important disaster, with different disaster areas experiencing various stages of development. Accurate understanding of the development of land subsidence is crucial for effective prevention and control. Aiming at the different characteristics of land subsidence at each development stage, a clustering method (improved adaptive density peak clustering algorithm based on K-nearest neighbors, IADPC-KNN) was proposed. Combining with granular computing theory, the development patterns of land subsidence and their mapping laws were summarized. Firstly, the dynamic time warping (DTW) method was used as the distance metric between data. IADPC-KNN and other five clustering algorithms were tested on seven public datasets. The results show that IADPC-KNN has higher accuracy and better robustness. Secondly, the land subsidence monitoring data from 14 affected regions around the world were collected, and four types of land subsidence patterns and their mapping relationships were obtained through data processing, sequence extraction, cluster analysis, granular model construction, and rule generalization. Finally, monitoring data from 2017 to 2019 for a specific site were used for validation. The results show that the land subsidence pattern for the site after 2018 has a probability of 0.359 2 of belonging to Mode 4, which is good agreement with the actual subsidence development. The research results provide a theoretical reference for predicting and preventing land subsidence disasters.

Key words: dynamic time warping, density peak clustering, granular model, cluster, land subsidence

中图分类号: TU42
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